SPORTS ADVISORS
(11) Marquette (17-2, 7-6-1 ATS) at (19) Notre Dame (12-6, 4-8 ATS)
The Golden Eagles take their nine-game winning streak into South Bend, Ind., for a showdown with struggling Notre Dame, which just saw its NCAA-best 45-game home winning streak halted and is facing its fourth consecutive ranked Big East opponent.
Marquette has rattled off nine in a row (5-2-1 ATS) and is perfect in Big East action at 6-0 (4-2 ATS). The Eagles are coming off Saturday’s 79-70 win over Depaul, but came up well short as 16-point home favorites. The last time they took to the road in conference play was Jan. 17 when they got a 91-82 win at Providence as a one-point chalk.
The Fighting Irish have dropped three straight games for the first time in three years and are in the midst of an 0-4 ATS run. After back-to-back double-digit road losses to No. 23 Louisville and No. 8 Syracuse, Notre Dame on Saturday fell to UConn 69-61 as two-point home ‘dogs, the team’s first loss in South Bend since February 2005. Mike Bray’s squad shot a season-low 33 percent from the field against UConn and essentially lost the game when the Huskies went on a 13-1 run late in the second half. The Irish (3-4, 2-5 ATS in conference) are giving up a whopping 81.1 ppg in Big East play, but just 62.5 ppg on their home court.
Marquette won two of the three matchups last season (3-0 ATS) and knocked the Irish out of the Big East postseason tournament with an 89-79 quarterfinals win as a 1½-point favorite at Madison Square Garden. Last season in South Bend, the Irish prevailed 86-83, but failed to cash as 4½-point favorites. The Eagles have covered in five of the last seven in this rivalry.
Marquette enters this one on ATS streaks of 10-4 on the road, 12-5 in conference play, 5-2 on Mondays, 5-1 against teams with a winning record and 9-4 on the road against teams with a winning home mark. Notre Dame is just 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven on Monday.
For the Golden Eagles, the over is on runs of 43-21-2 on the road, 29-14 in Big East play and 42-17-2 against teams with a winning home record. The Irish have gone over the total in 22 of their last 30 conference games, eight of their last 11 Monday contests and five straight against teams with a winning record. Finally, in this rivalry, the over is on a 5-0 streak overall and 5-0 run in South Bend.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER
(6) Oklahoma (19-1, 9-6 ATS) at Oklahoma State (13-5, 5-6-1 ATS)
The Sooners put their perfect Big 12 record on the line as they travel Stillwater, Okla., to face rival Oklahoma State.
Oklahoma improved to 5-0 in conference play (4-1 ATS) with Saturday’s 95-76 home rout of Baylor, easily cashing as a seven-point chalk. It’s been all about defense for the Sooners, as they limit the opposition to 64.8 points per game and 37.7 percent shooting while scoring 80 points per contest (48 percent). Prior to Saturday, they had allowed 64 points or less in six straight games, and they’re yielding just 63.2 ppg (36.4 percent) in conference play.
Oklahoma State has been involved in three straight thrillers, losing at Baylor 98-92 in overtime on Jan. 17 as a 5½-point underdog, then losing at home to Missouri 97-95 as a one-point favorite before finally coming out on top at Nebraska on Saturday, winning 76-74 in overtime as a 2½-point pup. The Cowboys (2-2 SU and ATS in conference) are 9-1 SU in front of the home crowd, where they average 91 ppg on 48 percent shooting, but just 3-2 ATS in lined action.
The Sooners have won three straight (2-1 ATS) in this rivalry and five of the last six (3-2-1 ATS). They went to Stillwater last season and earned a 68-56 victory as five-point ‘dogs. In fact, the road team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six series clashes.
Oklahoma is 4-1 ATS in its last five overall, but otherwise is on negative ATS trends of 17-35-2 on the road, 18-40-2 on the highway against teams with a winning home record and 3-7-1 on Mondays. Oklahoma State is on positive ATS runs of 9-3-1 in Big 12 play, 4-1 on Mondays and 4-0 at home against teams with a winning road record.
The Sooners have topped the total in five of their last six after a spread-cover, but they are on “under” streaks of 9-2-1 on the road, 9-3 in conference play, 4-0 against teams with a winning record and 10-2-1 on the road against a team with a winning home mark. Meanwhile, Oklahoma State has easily topped the total in three straight games, but the under for the Cowboys is on stretches of 16-6 on Mondays, 4-1 after a straight-up win and 4-0 against teams with a winning record. Also, the under has been the play in the last four meetings in the Bedlam Series.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
NBA
Atlanta (26-17, 23-20 ATS) at Miami (23-19, 19-21-2 ATS)
The Hawks head to American Airlines Arena in Miami looking to rebound from a difficult Sunday afternoon home loss when they face the Heat in this Eastern Conference matchup.
Atlanta fell 104-99 to the Suns as a four-point home favorite on Sunday, snapping a three-game winning streak (2-1 ATS) that included Friday’s117-87 blowout of the Bucks as a 5½-point home chalk. The Hawks are just 9-12 away from Atlanta this season, but they’ve been a good road bet, cashing in 13 of those 21 contests.
Miami has alternated SU wins and losses in its last five (3-2 ATS), but is coming off Saturday’s surprising 103-97 home win over the in-state rival Magic, prevailing as a 7½-point pup. The Heat are only 13-7 SU and 8-11-1 ATS in front of the home fans this season.
The Hawks have won four of the last five (3-2 ATS) in this series, including a 87-73 win in South Beach back on Dec. 12, cashing as two-point pups. Atlanta has prevailed in two of its last three trips to Miami (2-1 ATS) but it is just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 trips to Florida and 7-19 ATS in the last 26 series clashes overall.
Atlanta is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven against Southeast Division opponents, but otherwise is on ATS streaks of 9-4 on the road, 7-1 as an underdog, 7-1 on the second night of a back-to-back and 5-1 as a road ‘dog. The Heat are 6-2 ATS in their last eight overall and 5-2 ATS in their last seven after getting a day off, but they also carry a host of negative pointspread trends into this one, including 0-6 on Mondays, 14-37-1 as a favorite, 19-40-1 as a home favorite and 1-4-1 at home against teams with a losing road record.
The Hawks have stayed under the total in five of their last eight against the Southeast Division, but they have topped the total in 10 of 15 overall, five of seven on Monday and four of five on the second night of a back-to-back. For Miami, the over is 7-2 in its last nine overall, but the under is on runs of 7-3 at home, 5-2 against Southeast Division foes and 4-1 as a home favorite.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE
Philadelphia (21-21 SU and ATS) at New Orleans (26-14, 17-21-2 ATS)
The red-hot Sixers, winners of eight of their last nine, make the trek to the Big Easy for a showdown with the Hornets.
Philadelphia has found its offense lately, topping the century mark in eight of its last 10, including in Saturday’s 116-110 home victory over the Knicks, though it came up just short as 7½-point favorites. The Sixers, who climbed back to .500 with the victory over New York, have won and covered in three straight on the highway, and they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 overall.
New Orleans had its three-game winning streak (2-1 ATS) snapped Friday night in Minnesota, losing 116-108 as a one-point road underdog. The Hornets tend to clamp down defensively at home, allowing just 90.6 points per game in New Orleans while scoring 97.1.
These two haven’t met since November 2007 when the Hornets swept a home-and-home series, winning 95-76 as nine-point home favorites, then scoring a 93-72 road win as a 2½-point chalk. New Orleans is 6-3 ATS in the last nine series meetings and 4-1 ATS in the last five played in the Big Easy.
In addition to its ongoing ATS streaks of 8-2 overall and 3-0 on the road, Philadelphia comes into this one on positive pointspread runs of 4-1 against the Western Conference, 10-2 against the Southwest Division, 6-1 after a straight-up win and 5-2 after getting one day off. The Hornets are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight against the Eastern Conference and 1-4 ATS in their last five at home against teams with a losing road mark, but they are on positive ATS streaks of 44-19-2 after a straight-up loss and 11-5-1 against the Atlantic Division.
The Sixers have stayed under the total in 21 of 28 Monday contests and 11 of 17 games after getting a day off, but they are on “over” runs that include 7-3 against the Western Conference, 8-2 on the road, 5-0 after a non-cover and 7-3 against teams with a winning record. New Orleans is on “over” stretches of 7-3-1 overall and 4-0-1 after a non-cover, but it is also on under streaks of 11-5-1 after a straight-up loss, 7-2 at home and 4-1-1 against the Eastern Conference. Finally, the under is 5-1 in the last six clashes between these squads, but the over is 8-3 in the last 11 played in New Orleans.
ATS ADVANTAGE: PHILADELPHIA
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